Homes of the Future: Mark McCrindle discusses housing trends

Thursday, June 16, 2016

What is shaping our built environment?

The first is population growth. Australia has just reached 24 million which means we have added an extra million people in less than 3 years, and most of this growth is in our larger capital cities. This is creating a shift from suburban to urban living; from the traditional horizontal communities to the new vertical ones. In our largest capital cities, two-thirds of all new housing approvals are high or medium density rather than detached homes. This densification is creating walkable communities, multi-use areas where people live, work and play in a more localised space, and of course increased access to transit and transport hubs. The other factor shaping developments is affordability. With rising house prices, Australians are looking for financially sustainable options which meet the needs of both lifestyle and affordability, and create the flexibility for our homes to change in tune with our needs and lifestyles.

What are the current trends and will they last?

While design trends come and go with the changing fashions, there are some broader development trends that are here to stay. The increased access to open spaces, in-door out-door areas, balconies, natural light and bringing vegetation into urban environments are all timeless trends that resonates with our temperate climate and needs. Similarly, with food central to our social environment, open-plan kitchens and meal areas in homes and open social spaces in offices are trends we will see continue.

How is technology affecting it?

Today’s technology is seamlessly integrated into our lives, and we are seeing the same seamless integration into our homes. The internet of things means that lighting, sound, temperature, entertainment and security in our domestic environments are all manageable through our personal devices. The decade ahead will see our pantries and fridges talk to our devices to update shopping lists, our home entertainment experience continue playing seamlessly on our portable devices and our hydrogen cars help power our homes.

Image source: The Clipsal Smart Home range (courtesy of www.clipsal.com)

What are the demographic trends?

Homes of the future will have the flexibility to accommodate multiple generations living under the one roof. They will meet the changing needs of a more culturally diverse community and have clever innovations to facilitate support to Australians living independently in their homes to a much older age than we currently see.

What does the future hold?

While Generation Z, who are just starting their careers, will have to pay more for their homes in the future, these buildings and the built environment in which they sit will far exceed what their parents experienced in their first homes. Not only will the technologies and fittings in the home be exciting but the community spaces, café culture and neighbourhood amenities will continue to adjust and adapt to meet the lifestyle expectations of the 21st Century generations.

Sydney's Rising Star Suburbs

Monday, January 04, 2016

Analysis of the Urban Living Index shows the
top 3 growth areas to watch


The Urban Living Index rates each of Sydney’s suburbs based on five key liveability factors: Community, Employability, Amenity, Accessibility and importantly, Affordability.

While some of Sydney’s most glamorous suburbs such as Bondi, Neutral Bay and Manly did very well on the first four measures, they did not do well in the affordability category. The cost of living and the cost of housing are currently red-hot issues for Sydney siders and so affordability is in many ways the priority issue with the other lifestyle measures remaining purely theoretical for those priced out of an area.

The majority of Sydneysiders (51%) believe that their area will be even less affordable in three years’ time than it is today- which is almost five times as many as those who believe their area will become more affordable. And most strikingly, almost 9 in 10 Sydney residents (88%) state that housing affordability will be a massive or significant challenge for the next generation.

With this in mind, we have analysed the Urban Living Index data of all Sydney suburbs to find the areas that have excellent affordability- but also rate very well on the other lifestyle measures.

While there are 25 suburbs that score 15 or above (out of 20) for affordability, there are three areas in this list that have great results in the other liveability categories as well.

1st Lalor Park

Lalor Park and the adjoining Kings Langley toped our hot spotting list. The affordability score (15) was excellent, and these suburbs have an amenity score (a measure of the number of shops, restaurants, arts and recreation facilities and educational options in the suburb) which was very good. In fact these suburbs scored higher on the local amenity provisions than suburbs including Newport, Wahroonga and Frenchs Forest. Similarly Lalor Park and Kings Langley scored well on accessibility (a measure that looks at public transport, employment access and walkability of an area) and above beach and harbour side suburbs like Avalon and Rose Bay.

While the overall score for Lalor Park-Kings Langley is in the “Very Good” category, its excellent affordability ranking makes it a suburb likely to boom.

2nd Menai

Menai and the adjoining suburbs of Lucas Heights and Woronora are the next suburbs set to take off based on this analysis. Relative to other Sydney suburbs, the affordability is in the excellent category and this is matched by the employability category. So the combination of good employment numbers, a significant local economy and access to housing more affordable than much of Sydney, this area in Sydney’s south is a clear hotspot.

3rd Blaxland

The third most rated area from this affordability and liveability analysis is Blaxland at the foot of the Blue Mountains and the adjoining suburbs of Warrimoo and Lapstone. Just 8 minutes from the M4 motorway, and less than 10 minutes from the Western Sydney suburbs of Penrith and Emu Plains, this area has become part of Sydney’s greater west yet the affordability, along with the community and amenity scores lift it above many areas in the outer western Sydney ring.

As the urban living index data shows, liveability depends on more than just water views and beach access- the practical factors of educational options, employment access, public transport and other built amenity and of course affordability all make an area desirable and facilitate lifestyle. That is why each of these areas have rated on the Index above the well-heeled suburbs of Palm Beach, Belrose and Vaucluse and it is why they stand out as rising stars.


This research we conducted for Urban Taskforce Australia is an example of robust research generating significant media activity and reader interest. This particular piece was summarised in the Sydney Morning Herald here, and as you can see from the image below was in the top 5 most read columns on the day in the Sydney Morning Herald, the Melbourne Age and the Brisbane Times.

For more information

The Urban Living Index was developed by McCrindle for Urban Taskforce Australia. More information and interactive maps are available at www.urbanlivingindex.com

Hooray for the Urban Living Index: A new evidence base to help urban planners & policy makers

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

The co-authors of the newly developed Urban Living Index – The Urban Taskforce and McCrindle Research – rightly state that the challenge in planning for Sydney’s future is to ensure that population growth does not compromise its “world-beating lifestyle”. By tracking five key categories that produce a measure of liveability in a city, the Index is a great first step in developing an evidence base to monitoring changes as the Sydney metropolitan area as it grows – both outwards and upwards.

A key theme in most media reporting about the Index is that upwards growth – through increased residential density – is the way to ensure high levels of amenity and accessibility are maintained as Sydney grows, and that a reliance on outwards expansion may compromise such liveability standards. Although the Index broadly shows that denser residential areas rate highly from a liveability perspective, we need to dig a bit deeper to understand what it is about these areas that make them liveable. It is not just a case of these highly rated areas being dense, which is actually just a relative measure of compactness. There are many more factors at play than compactness in making a place liveable and sustainable.

The structure of the overall city, with its public transport and road network and its layout of employment and retail locations, influences transport choice more than most other factors. At the local level, good walking and cycling connectivity to local shopping and public transport services is the key to how we move around. Of course, there is also the influence that individual behaviours, intentions and beliefs have on how a community might inhabit and use places and spaces. Density also plays a role, especially population density, as this helps underpin social and economic sustainability in local areas. But density is not the end game – far from it.

For example, the Index shows that Marrickville has a relatively low high density component for an inner city area (40%) but a very high liveability ranking. On the other hand, Woollahra has a higher high density component (50%) but a relatively low liveability ranking for an inner urban area. If one interrogates the rankings, you’ll see that Marrickville ranks highest for accessibility (which considers the factors I mention above), whereas Woollahra has a relatively low ranking for accessibility. This example, and there are many others across the metropolitan region, shows that higher density areas do not necessarily guarantee higher levels of accessibility.

The upshot of policy makers and planners thinking that increased density inevitably produces more liveable and sustainable urban areas has resulted in, until recently, a saturation of multi-level apartment construction in infill areas. And some of these areas have been bereft of the factors that the Index shows achieves high levels of amenity: within walking distance to rail or priority light rail and bus routes that connect to employment locations; within walking distance to a plentiful supply of local shops and services; well-connected and safe walking and cycling routes; and a range of different residential options that help create a vibrant social mix of different family types.

I think the Index helpfully shows that density is just part of the story. The Index is comprised of twenty separate measures- and many of these are not at all reliant on densification. As I’ve shown above, we cannot simply assume that areas of high density automatically generate liveable and sustainable outcomes. There are simply too many factors at play to make this conclusion.

Dr Michael Grosvenor, Principal MGC

An event recap of the Urban Living Index launch

Monday, December 14, 2015

It was a privilege for two of our team, Mark McCrindle and Annie Phillips to attend and present at Urban Taskforce’s launch of the Urban Living Index on Thursday 10th December.

The event was an opportunity to showcase the Urban Living Index and how it can be best utilised as Sydney continues to grow and increase in densification.

The Urban Living Index

Earlier this year we had the opportunity to develop The Urban Living Index, which is going to be used as an ongoing measure for the liveability of suburbs in Sydney. This instrument considers the affordability, community, employability, amenity and accessibility of an area to determine how liveable it is. The challenge for Sydney’s future is to ensure that it responds to population growth yet maintains its world-beating lifestyle and that its liveability rises to match its increasing density. While a city can always improve, the results of the Index show that the city planning and unit development are creating thriving urban communities, as evidenced by the results that show superior liveability in high density Sydney suburbs.


To read the full report, visit the Urban Living Index website here.





Sydney’s most liveable suburbs

Crows Nest-Waverton
Surry Hills
Pyrmont-Ultimo
Marrickville
Potts Point – Woolloomooloo

In the media




Sydney Morning Herald - Measuring urban living across Sydney








Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

Duchess of Cambridge Res Vis family 2012 dream environment engage micro 2016 census marriages mccrindle research litter Lower Hunter baby high density Queensland local communities future-proof sector wide define millennials Gen X January 26th ACF2017 business index online shopping Royals hornsby dessert Do It Yourself social enquiry ease of travel keynote speaker Tuesday Trend HSC ethnography child care trades Hills Shire Council village house shopping centre the great screenage donate youth Black Friday in Australia baby name trends English McCrindle Keynote Speakers unaffordable casual consumerism skills sydneysiders wage future proofing US crows nest socialising demographic event report commute faux-cilising qualitative research logan Business analysis care support moderators guide property market wellbeing vegetarian schools students investment student Mark McCrindle mover and shaker work from home 2016 census results population growth spend VET sector socialites demographics professional services Real Estate Christmas day Generation Y TEDx Kiwi 24,000,000 greatness retirement internship researcher priorities Australian community trends dare to dream marriage Australian communities consumer Tasmania buildings social commentary demographic trends McCridle teacher training employers world woolworths new office trend parenting grandparents curiosity christianity royal family 2013 employment women home ownership data visualisation work-life domestic relational resource debt Australian Trends environmental scanning earnings Word Up bondi census results Maxim Accounting urban living index Christmas Stats social researcher research on coffee future of work social impact Australia Day christmas trees employmee ACF17 learner affordable New Zeland aged care puzzle parents rise of local social commentator Generation X average aussie social analysis social research social researchers suburbs father's day ageing princess charlotte survey land of the middle class generations balance follow weekly earnings Black Friday Sales vegemite investing hello fresh demography cost community megatrends middle class housing market daily telegraph Deaths aussie culture Australian Home etiquette emerging trends growth meals post rationalism infographic financial independence visual waverton local community divorce rate annual income celebration charities owning a home media commentary Research Director personalities responsive screenage in depth interviews couple housing affordability bureau typical australian housing trends rental stress generation Z states ACF wedding Financial Planning Association unemployment statistics social media FOMO conference speaker Queensland: QLD Northern beaches Event tea entrepreneurial church Population Clock names learning styles Gen Y toys conferences safe households selfie wealth award baby name predictions urban REIV Conference workplace culture twentyseventeen forum grave decision Hornsby Shire Council Valentine’s Day click online census 2016 Aussies tips high density living narcissism Adelaide Hunter Valley house prices low density Jura Coffee organisations NBRS 1975 staff global generations goal Retail Bathburst ipswich ashley mckenzie speaker seasons greetings 10 years monarchy customer belief money 2014 baby names australia report Wagga Wagga high density apartments education sector hunger darwin Charlotte Australia street social trends Christmas in Australia new york times geomapping Australian Families recap eliane teleworking Christmas lunch VIC screenagers gig sunny days focus groups social change group Work place government Christmas presents renter of the future divorce ABS business facts Australian Dream wealth distribution donation millionth economy WA ACT ACT Report public speaking menai shopper's pick staying in rising house prices office Merry Christmas royal baby stats presentations teaching wolloomooloo outsourcing future tuesday cost of living mythbusting product not for profit potts point Gen Z Expert New South Wales Sydney keynote speaker winter blues TAS urban living Christmas season social employmer area choice workers Social Trend optus communities TDE optimistic wages faith Jura Australia christmas children eliane miles investor the hills shire global gig economy work neutral bay educated sydney event gender housing generation spirituality snapshot Lower Hunter Region Sydney population year 12 Geoff Brailey shopping collaboration gen z volunteers identity purpose suburban living Black Friday lalor park relevant national crime rates politics CBD renting cooking CPI survey design the australian dream charity housing growth baby boomers happiness futurist university degree school satisfaction SMSF stay home participants volunteering small business data events baby names report easter cold nativity scene Willowdale social life Real Estate Institute of Victoria growth of sydney Western Australia hills shire motivate brands intern winter cars 2015 Research Executive Performance Sentiment Index property price nfp 2017 professional speaker Australian schools world youth day 40 million dreaming local Kirsten Brewer market research victoria results census data mining boom social lives Christchurch sustainable education research Christmas research fresh faux-cilise easy rider Aussie religion cartodb jobs of the future cica global financial crisis apartment experience mccrindle in the media TEDx Speaker brand experience growing population holiday media increasing densification insight social shifts Australian demographics apartments sentiments men cloudy days budget Financial Planning Association of Australia interactive who is generation z generation alpha educhat city Love mythbusters Assistant Store Manager Myth financial future System's Architect workforce news capital city thought leadership suburb australian communities forum sydney metro living Australians australian social research Melbourne blaxland holidays workplace medicine society trends FPA in the media cancelling plans collaborative education future kate middleton know the times seasons analysis rich capital cities presentation DESTEL learn leadership workshop overcast office opening Cobbitty-Leppington media activity communication media release christmas 2017 REIV National Conference 1994 education cultural diversity teach rent wealth and income distribution young australians change mobile quote acf15 younger generations ideas VET pharmacies social analyst 2020 perth volunteering data royal influence trends authenticity urban development optus my business awards young people professional presenters Christmas day weather Netflix pyrmont clothing NFP event technology friends cancelling event Andrew Duffin ageing population mortgage goals cultural diveristy Australian Communities Trends Australia Day 2017 business performance DIY tattoos society google for education financial careers affordability tableau infographics omnibus culture TED talk food insecurity earn volunteer career marrickville award winner sydneysider salary deloitte keynote McCrindle Speaker SA australian real estate SRE hobart Australian Bureau of Statistics rain public speaker panel school students Channel Seven ferry residents group session mccrindle bus cancel plans shbc moreton bay future proof supply and demand sector internet happy holidays paying to work high school ashley fell royal urban taskforce household gold coast challenge water gen alpha population milestone national private wealth house price Tuesday Trends food criminal personal growth youth unemployment millenials professional graphs property travel South Australia trends of 2017 earning McCrindle Speakers Mark McCrindle in the media property development commuters sydneycity 1968 research services newspaper sector wide study the lucky country visualisation manly speakers pack sydney property market townhouses wealth and income hills repayments baby name chairty Scouts plans brand study NSW live the dream jobs marketing baby names travelling workshop learning leadership organisational culture the hills australian faux-ciliser office space story anzac Territory Northern Territory future of shopping World Water Day emerging generations Vocational education brisbane the average aussie Sydney Hills Business Chamber 1980 financial fears Financial Planning Week Mount Annan-Currant Hill innovative population map community event tertiary education program Engineering Manager digital economy transport research visualisation research report Wodonga conference presentation storytelling rule keeper house price rise sunburnt country equip weather meetings changing face of sydney communications publication trend tuesday cash poor aged care public holiday community engagement NT mateship dreams prince george Canberra micro apartments christian train financial planning ultimo friendship 2016 going out What is food insecurity? non profit mccrinlde list GPO baby boom "know the times" students census fail NEETs teachers New Zealand entrepreneurs of today ACF 2016 shifts Crime Rates home owner showreel research car financial dreams food bank sun energy IT Specialists economic coffee trends analyst global retail 23 million NBRS Architecture Channel 7 public transport state education future report australians staying home more 24 million huffington post families average sydneysider contiki the changing face of lifestyle sydney market alpha Wellington tv forecast demographer JOMO pharmacy commuting not-for-profit Australian Population future of education schools university sydney hills PSI professional development February 16 australia speakers Sydney Lifestyle Study life hopes generational trends communicate engagement daily commute research data real google thrive debate builders norwest slideshare proactive language Births sports TED census Education Future Forum crime emerging technologies mccrindle tea sydney speaker home trends of 2016 finance not for profit research national wealth insights entertainment summer Christmas data speajer Northern Beaches Macquarie University year 7 Caregiver data analyst SMART australian communities trends report Australian Census Elderslie-Harrington park Sydney case study internships infographic wall culturally diverse mother's day population australian community trends report #censusfail wealth inequality research pack digital income leader The Daily Edition focus group innovation mentor impact resilience conference entrepreneur Northern Beaches Christian School demographic transformations social issues average Australian poker master forecasting offenders coffee lovers Sydney’s south west networking fears breakfast James Ward school The ABC of XYZ giving long weekend video EFF healthy future work mates Skilling

Archive