A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


debt 2017 anzac population milestone baby name predictions celebration demographic transformations generation alpha society trends housing growth men young people house aged care puzzle retirement Deaths children annual income 1975 lifestyle collaboration HSC Australian demographics Australians tuesday skills experience video ACT townhouses apartment 1980 visualisation urban taskforce monarchy online shopping communicate careers Generation X Myth not for profit ACF moderators guide cost of living Real Estate Institute of Victoria entrepreneurial publication follow students earnings Gen X recap house price educated Merry Christmas stay home community event ageing wealth distribution princess charlotte social analysis social trends rising house prices employment divorce energy the australian dream property price builders seasons woolworths urban world youth day baby boomers learn NEETs criminal plans sunny days suburb state home communications global financial crisis financial independence weekly earnings christianity dreaming slideshare entrepreneurs of today not-for-profit world city dream Hornsby Shire Council 2015 vegetarian high school australian social research business FOMO New South Wales generation online data visualisation easy rider Queensland: QLD conference presentation CBD university social enquiry consumerism stats interactive 10 years real Social Trend Sydney keynote speaker cost population map Population Clock professional megatrends darwin narcissism kate middleton young australians aussie culture ease of travel tattoos Do It Yourself goal investment fears baby name selfie non profit census wage leadership workshop year 12 equip graphs prince george hello fresh Christchurch Wellington data analyst participants 40 million Tuesday Trends in depth interviews REIV Conference tertiary education marriage cold internships engage TAS hopes affordability shopping overcast faux-cilise local brand school volunteers future quote internet 2020 royal influence culture organisations baby name trends youth unemployment 24 million sydneycity work village EFF Aussies budget Mark McCrindle logan mother's day sydneysiders holiday Northern beaches Event The ABC of XYZ faux-cilising property royal family emerging technologies entertainment alpha social high density financial dreams domestic housing ageing population Duchess of Cambridge Charlotte unemployment clothing easter renting church New Zealand identity nfp panel twentyseventeen organisational culture SA professional speaker sydney speaker survey design tv Melbourne Aussie the changing face of jobs of the future entrepreneur child care society rule keeper economy typical australian supply and demand future-proof high density living living ABS infographic wall optimistic 1994 Education Future Forum trends of 2016 community engagement suburban living PSI dare to dream Territory huffington post teach mythbusters relational presentation sun New Zeland responsive TDE Word Up staying in weather repayments research royal goals Australian Families royal baby sector IT Specialists sustainable Assistant Store Manager new york times Geoff Brailey schools manly student google DIY NT Love greatness debate public speaking buildings national private wealth conferences mccrindle in the media school students property market generation Z Channel Seven trend define gold coast post rationalism Australia Day 2017 households Real Estate mccrindle hobart facts ACF 2016 networking education future report ultimo winter blues wealth and income distribution faux-ciliser future proof menai pyrmont friends product internship ashley fell cooking cash insight Netflix insights Gen Y waverton tips teacher perth rent WA teaching salary ashley mckenzie social impact group qualitative research daily telegraph social commentator research visualisation keynote speaker future proofing Engineering Manager Queensland communication government workshop demographics vegemite shopper's pick Australia Day earning Christmas lunch trends of 2017 shifts education sector optus keynote etiquette Scouts media activity intern Australian communities rich leader System's Architect trends media Res Vis ipswich Financial Planning Week learning styles social research learning resilience income bondi list outsourcing home ownership spend English career rise of local rental stress forum family customer business index generations offenders communities education future lalor park marriages pharmacies increasing densification religion 2016 mentor sector wide going out norwest workplace culture year 7 social shifts paying to work jobs conference office opening baby names challenge local communities gender Wodonga conference speaker award eliane miles sunburnt country professional development baby financial study mccrindle tea small business work mates sentiments Australian schools curiosity work-life Adelaide suburbs researcher Channel 7 cancelling event cars South Australia baby boom demographic 24,000,000 training Births GPO 1968 Kiwi innovative acf15 neutral bay eliane language newspaper Australian Trends happiness statistics Financial Planning Association of Australia investor Kirsten Brewer SMSF media commentary hills shire tableau finance bureau brands know the times office space omnibus click housing trends moreton bay balance workplace mateship community australian communities forum report workforce household wages australian communities trends report families deloitte Australian Communities Trends Tasmania Crime Rates socialites REIV National Conference personal growth blaxland DESTEL educhat christmas Northern Beaches Christian School home owner cloudy days relevant innovation survey resource wealth research pack generational trends Australian Census results futurist focus groups gen z social researchers population focus group geomapping crows nest thought leadership teleworking global australians staying home more case study average aussie coffee VIC charity holidays trend tuesday summer personalities 2012 cartodb Australian Home leadership investing environment cultural diversity national wealth Research Executive Western Australia states forecast February 16 presentations news owning a home technology housing affordability cancel plans media release population growth social commentary 23 million rain mobile google for education wellbeing education australia grandparents house price rise The Daily Edition parenting house prices shbc middle class commute housing market transport land of the middle class couple safe teachers trends analyst Northern Territory learner Sydney toys Christmas season millennials Wagga Wagga emerging generations unaffordable social lives poker master urban living Generation Y motivate data McCrindle Speakers parents winter crime marrickville mover and shaker fresh speakers 2014 social researcher authenticity Northern Beaches wedding economic demographic trends change ideas youth cancelling plans Tuesday Trend engagement analysis victoria future of work ethnography medicine Royals poor snapshot World Water Day daily commute friendship "know the times" new office future of education food social media social change mythbusting national crime rates Caregiver names infographic global generations divorce rate employers staff tea earn long weekend socialising financial future sports mortgage gen alpha growing population in the media renter of the future emerging trends priorities school satisfaction Financial Planning Association dessert group session millionth meals Canberra mccrindle research proactive digital potts point wealth and income residents wolloomooloo hornsby capital city Australian Bureau of Statistics forecasting millenials litter market research women sydney event Christmas presents brisbane collaborative program optus my business awards pharmacy 2013 sector wide study consumer father's day marketing water event healthy future demographer brand experience life January 26th public holiday social life Australian Dream NSW thrive schools students environmental scanning visual area aged care Bathburst low density politics university degree education research mining boom research services FPA affordable research data growth capital cities high density apartments events urban living index JOMO office Valentine’s Day storytelling meetings