A Census snapshot of the Hills LGA (NSW)

Thursday, July 13, 2017

The results from the national Census give a fascinating snapshot of life in The Hills LGA. The boundaries of The Hills local government area have changed only slightly since the 2011 Census allowing interesting comparisons of how we have changed over half a decade.

Changing households

Homes in The Hills contain slightly more people now (3.2 on average compared to 3.1 in 2011), and two in three have four or more bedrooms compared to just one in three nationally. However they are less likely to be a detached house than 5 years ago (82.4% compared to 84.1% in 2011) and less likely to be owned outright (34.5%, down from 36% in 2011). The costs of housing have been outstripping earnings with rents up 25% since 2011 but average household incomes only up 16%.

Culturally diverse

When compared to the national findings, local households are 35% more likely to be couple families with children, 34% more likely to have at least two cars, and 33% more likely to have at least one parent born overseas. Interestingly more Hills residents report their ancestry as English than Australian, even though only 3.3% of locals were born in England. In fact more people in the Hills were born in China (5.1%) and India (3.6%) than England, with South Korea and South Africa rounding out the top 5 for those born overseas. One in three residents speaks a language other than English at home, with that now most likely to be Mandarin, which has just overtaken Cantonese, showing the more recent migration patterns from mainland China.

Religious affiliations

While locals most commonly identify their religion as Christianity (64.8%), it has declined, while Hinduism has seen the biggest increase, from 3.1% in 2011 to 4.5% now. Of the 650 suburbs in Sydney, Castle Hill has the most number of Anglicans at 5,748 which places it 4th largest nationally for Anglicans.

Age of residents 

The Shire continues to have a younger profile than the rest of Australia with more people under 20 and less people over 65 than the national average. However while 2011 showed a deficit of 30-34 year olds locally compared to the state and national average, this latest data shows a surplus of 35-39 year olds indicating that while those in their twenties and early thirties do leave the Hills, it seems as if they also boomerang on back.

The Fading Australian Dream

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Housing affordability is currently a key issue of discussion in Australia and while there are a number of factors at play, the main price driver is that demand for houses is exceeding supply. Population growth, a trend to smaller households (and so more homes needed relative to the population), and demand for homes not only from first home buyers but also from downsizers, overseas buyers, local investors, and self-managed super funds and trusts are all fuelling price rises.

While Australia’s current annual population growth of 1.4% may seem modest, this adds almost 340,000 to our population each year- which is one new Darwin every 20 weeks or a new Tasmania every 18 months.

Where population growth is strongest, house price rises are the highest

Sydney is growing much faster than this having averaged 1.8% per annum for the last five years. It will add almost two million to its population by 2037 – which is the equivalent of adding a new Perth into Sydney. Melbourne is currently Australia’s fastest growing city and based on the current growth trends, it will overtake Sydney to become the nation’s largest city around the middle of this century. Unsurprisingly where population growth is strongest, house price rises are the highest.

Earnings growth has not kept up with house price growth

In just twenty years, the average Sydney house price has increased more than five-fold from $233,250 in 1997 to $1,190,390 today while in Melbourne prices over the same period have increased by more than six times from $142,000 to $943,100 today. While it is true that wages have increased over this time, earnings growth has not kept up with house price growth. In 20 years, average annual full-time earnings have not quite doubled from $42,010 in 1997 to $82,784 today.

The impact of growing demand on house prices is most evident when comparing prices to average earnings. Twenty years ago, the average Sydney house was 5.6 times average annual earnings while in Melbourne it was an affordable 3.4 times annual earnings. Today Sydney homes are more than 14 times average earnings, and in Melbourne more than 11 times annual earnings. While the maxim that house prices double every 10 years is not always the case and growth fluctuates, since 1997 Sydney prices have in effect doubled every 8 years while Melbourne has managed this every 6 years.

If the growth metrics over the last two decades play out over the next two, the average home in both Sydney and Melbourne in 2037 will exceed $6 million. Clearly, the Australian dream of home ownership for the next generation is fading. Young people today need almost three times the purchasing power that their parents needed to buy the average place, so even double incomes will not quite do it. Additionally, today’s new households are starting their earnings years later than their parents, having spent longer in tertiary studies, and they begin their economic life not with zero savings like their parents, but well into the negative- with interest accumulating study debts to pay off. Even if today’s emerging generations start saving harder and earlier and live with their parents longer, home ownership is still not a given.

Policy settings around migration and baby bonuses have grown the population and policies around property tax incentives, self-managed superannuation and investment provisions have fuelled property demand therefore policy support will be required to bring the great Australian dream a little bit closer to reality.

Sources: Population at 2017 (ABS). 1997 prices: Macquarie University (Abelson). 2017 house prices: Core Logic. Analysis: McCrindle

Australian Census 2016; What you need to know

Monday, August 08, 2016

As demographers and social researchers there are a few calendar events that cause for celebration. Among them include population milestones, special data set releases and, of course, the Census. Rolling around only every 5 years, the Census provides us all with vital information about our nation’s population growth, infrastructure and future-planning needs.

In 2016 the Census will be held tomorrow, Tuesday 9th August. It has been conducted every 5 years since 1911, and is the biggest democratic activity in Australia. While July’s election counted 14 million votes, the 2016 Census will include every household, age group, resident and visitor – all 24 million of us.

So here’s everything you need to know about the upcoming 2016 Census.

2 IN 3 AUSSIES WILL COMPLETE THE CENSUS ONLINE

This will be the most unique Census Australia has ever seen. In keeping with these technological times, 2 in 3 people will complete their form online, up from just 1 in 3 in 2011 and 1 in 10 back in 2006 (the first time there was an electronic option).

SHOWCASING OUR POPULATION MILESTONES

Firstly, the Census will show that our national population is growing, having hit a new record in February of this year and surpassing a population of 24 million people. Additionally, it will also show that Australia’s largest city – Sydney, has broken through the 5 million milestone.

Not only will the Census show that our population is growing, but also that we are ageing. Our population profile will no longer be a “population pyramid”, because for the first time there will be more Australians aged over 55 than under 20.

So the Census will show that our population is growing, ageing and as a result, it will show that we are moving. For the first time this Census will reveal that one in four Australian households live in townhouses or apartments rather than detached houses – the highest figure ever, up from just one in ten in 1966.

IMPORTANT QUESTION CHANGES TO THIS YEAR’S CENSUS

This year there will be a change to the religion question with the option of “No religion” now appearing at the top of that question rather than at the bottom, so it might attract some more numbers.

Additionally the question asked of women: “How many babies has she ever given birth to” states “live births only”, but will now include stillbirths and give acknowledgement of that loss And the question: “Is the person male or female” - will allow an alternative blank box for those who identify with neither gender.

PARTICPATION IN THE CENSUS IS COMPULSORY

Like participating in the election, it is compulsory to complete the Census. But for everyone in the country, not just citizens or residents. The Census and Statistics Act takes sitting the Census very seriously, with fines for non-completion after receiving an order to complete incurring a fine of $180 per day, and false answers can attract a fine of $1800.

But the good news is that the Act takes privacy very seriously as well and answers cannot be divulged by the ABS to anyone – even government agencies. Confidentiality is assured.

CENSUS RESULTS NOT RELEASED UNTIL 2017

If we thought we had to wait a while for the election results, be prepared for a longer wait for the Census findings. It will be analysed at record speed, but that still means a wait of 8 months, April 2017, with the full results not coming out until 2018!

Wealth and Income Distribution State V State

Monday, July 25, 2016


Australia has long been considered the land of the middle class, but in recent years the gap has been widening between the rich and the poor. When it comes to the battle of the states, which corner of Australia scores the highest and the lowest on the income and wealth report? Will the Baby Boomer generation continue their stronghold on our national wealth?

Is Australia still the land of the middle class?

It is hanging in there, but it’s under pressure. We have seen some hollowing out in the middle of the earnings and a bit of spread to either end. The average annual household earnings are around $107,000 however the lowest fifth of households earn 20% of this while the top fifth average almost three times this. That means that the top fifth of households are taking home about 12 times what the bottom fifth of households are earning.

Most Aussies have their wealth tied up in their homes, how does ownership compare with the top, middle and lower classes?

The average wealth (if you liquidate everything and pay off all your debts, what are you left with) is about $800,000. The bottom 1 in 5 have a net worth of just $35,000, the top 20% of all household have a net worth of about $2,500,000. That means that the top fifth of households have about 62% of Australia’s wealth, and the bottom fifth take less than 1% of Australia’s national private wealth. So that's a big difference in wealth across these households.

Which states are best and worst performers when we are looking just at income?

The mining boom in WA has really done a great thing over there and so they are leading the earnings chart, with the ACT not too far behind with public servant wages doing pretty well. At the bottom of the tree you have Tasmania, earning about $50,000 less per annum, per household, than what we have in the west.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

local community life unemployment optus population map professional services generational trends forecasting cultural diveristy offenders intern Northern Beaches royal balance Christchurch future of education holidays Generation Y environment investment Research Director meetings Work place FOMO not-for-profit collaborative relational facts real city trades Tuesday Trends monarchy learning styles trend tuesday winter sustainable community engagement insights baby boom house price parenting income celebration christmas participants events social researcher future proofing sector unaffordable 1980 suburban living megatrends Channel 7 hopes mccrindle greatness Christmas season Deaths WA mentor generation religion census office opening culturally diverse grave decision communities Sydney keynote speaker social media mythbusting Population Clock rise of local snapshot marketing crime social lives school satisfaction socialising royal family February 16 mortgage language national wealth sentiments group repayments menai apartment video REIV Conference commute village divorce shopping mother's day Wodonga post rationalism System's Architect financial Real Estate ideas social impact population milestone social seasons trend Caregiver travel focus group the hills shire January 26th panel "know the times" father's day victoria new york times mateship healthy future selfie grandparents conference speaker speakers pack high school ACT wage wealth and income distribution Births census fail click community personalities know the times DESTEL changing face of sydney tuesday suburbs Wellington schools students capital cities increasing densification christianity news 40 million 24 million mccrindle research ferry pyrmont work survey design follow brisbane focus groups communications marriage Australian Census sydney metro Social Trend 2016 census results tertiary education ashley mckenzie dream names living event relevant domestic ACF 2016 mining boom manly divorce rate high density ethnography social researchers future proof trends analyst education research demographic transformations mythbusters woolworths learn prince george rich children Canberra publication cancelling plans plans demography research visualisation case study twentyseventeen norwest spirituality friends aged care puzzle research report screenage cars wolloomooloo ABS 23 million mobile national private wealth educhat Skilling demographic trends perth staff faux-cilise Melbourne high density living world youth day market research hobart Australian Home area home christian Australian demographics visualisation HSC australian social research suburb Scouts qualitative research poor emerging generations training Real Estate Institute of Victoria thrive social trends cloudy days students Education Future Forum NBRS Architecture politics curiosity stay home workshop winter blues social enquiry world google for education bureau research services sunburnt country rising house prices 2013 work mates the hills urban taskforce Queensland: QLD Australian Bureau of Statistics breakfast princess charlotte wages deloitte ipswich marrickville baby name predictions slideshare tattoos demographic families leadership workshop growth speakers emerging technologies media commentary online pharmacies sunny days sydneycity FPA trends of 2016 future-proof experience mccrindle in the media financial independence poker master Australian Communities Trends wealth not for profit financial fears resilience moderators guide media renter of the future generation alpha trends NBRS social commentator speaker baby names australia report teacher population growth going out school sports define Australia Day goal child care public speaking happiness earn Australian schools Kirsten Brewer Generation X rain Adelaide Northern Beaches Christian School Australian Population data analyst skills average Australian Myth cost of living Financial Planning Week 1994 brands Kiwi survey states Merry Christmas TAS society trends study award weekly earnings house price rise CPI rent engage cancelling event salary investing acf15 Crime Rates Australia Day 2017 the changing face of baby name hills shire graphs property research Aussie 10 years infographic australians staying home more 2014 bondi finance interactive Research Executive leadership sector wide personal growth baby boomers innovation aged care Hills Shire Council researcher holiday teleworking research pack bus Assistant Store Manager collaboration newspaper Love baby rental stress cooking vegemite Christmas presents educated Australian Families internship dare to dream infographic wall friendship fresh SMART renting meals forum teaching communicate in depth interviews narcissism urban living sydney speaker online shopping university degree typical australian baby names report office list housing growth recap census data demographer public holiday SRE responsive fears eliane miles futurist shbc charity Australian Dream conferences millionth kate middleton school students digital clothing hello fresh analysis employers Gen Y purpose vegetarian financial dreams optimistic social commentary house lifestyle toys teach small business Vocational education national crime rates Duchess of Cambridge cost VET sector Macquarie University public speaker storytelling IT Specialists Tuesday Trend Channel Seven future infographics affordable housing market non profit award winner New Zeland train sydneysiders quote future of work results family cancel plans consumerism Aussies culture church 1975 education future report millennials TDE tips weather google eliane schools micro apartments mover and shaker state statistics South Australia easy rider forecast population debt Geoff Brailey affordability New Zealand goals emerging trends home ownership Valentine’s Day Tasmania REIV National Conference sydney hills debate teachers men property price criminal program census results australian communities forum workforce James Ward gold coast summer social change career blaxland VIC Northern Territory youth society Australians presentations the australian dream belief 2016 census English entrepreneurs of today careers 2012 DIY business index royal baby demographics ageing population dreaming office space investor presentation average sydneysider workplace culture shifts financial future Mark McCrindle Christmas lunch wellbeing resource identity thought leadership global financial crisis cartodb NSW report Queensland marriages year 7 Financial Planning Association the great screenage 2016 sun spend 1968 ultimo business 2017 gen z outsourcing Royals australian communities trends report generations property market visual home owner earnings leader wealth distribution energy nfp households lalor park brand ashley fell government work-life entertainment professional presenters CBD communication young people Do It Yourself Andrew Duffin Financial Planning Association of Australia omnibus household house prices cultural diversity medicine economy GPO student transport customer shopper's pick employment Netflix overcast anzac coffee internet census 2016 alpha safe workplace tea youth unemployment consumer story networking average aussie women research data socialites education future internships Wagga Wagga media activity conference engagement baby names World Water Day SMSF pharmacy budget social analysis new office faux-ciliser capital city wealth and income New South Wales environmental scanning ACF buildings 24,000,000 food baby name trends neutral bay travelling crows nest technology data long weekend 2020 Sydney education keynote speaker McCrindle Speakers education sector australia contiki waverton Northern beaches Event SA Word Up sydney event entrepreneurial mccrindle tea ease of travel Hornsby Shire Council middle class cica earning social research ageing Res Vis parents builders in the media hornsby volunteers economic annual income 2015 housing trends huffington post stats The Daily Edition millenials trends of 2017 Sydney Hills Business Chamber Australian Trends potts point geomapping jobs of the future Bathburst aussie culture growing population social issues EFF litter high density apartments impact learner local communities professional development Engineering Manager Charlotte darwin future of shopping proactive paying to work equip supply and demand NEETs commuters apartments urban living index insight professional speaker community event young australians innovative retirement learning urban logan housing easter low density owning a home faux-cilising land of the middle class The ABC of XYZ royal influence change moreton bay JOMO sector wide study dessert university VET social life business performance wedding townhouses organisational culture jobs tv the average aussie group session car generation Z PSI hills tableau daily commute cash global generations #censusfail media release professional authenticity optus my business awards Gen X showreel couple water organisations staying in NT gen alpha Australia street shopping centre gender entrepreneur local priorities brand experience rule keeper Western Australia keynote etiquette global year 12 Territory housing affordability data visualisation Australian communities micro sydneysider faith cold residents social shifts conference presentation product challenge daily telegraph motivate

Archive