A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

generation alpha social researchers village in the media new york times 2016 census grandparents economic victoria data visualisation entrepreneurial Australian Families Channel Seven entrepreneur world youth day ACT trend society trends program communities Australian Communities Trends couple young australians women in depth interviews mateship apartment commuters conference ideas nfp demographic trends researcher rich growth financial independence office opening January 26th fresh hobart conference speaker intern study culturally diverse gen z australians staying home more 2020 socialites church 2015 mccrindle research family visual youth Do It Yourself communicate 40 million South Australia New Zealand capital cities resource February 16 aged care teaching New South Wales land of the middle class twentyseventeen events social analysis mythbusters 2013 year 7 salary school satisfaction Res Vis royal family research career emerging trends tertiary education cash clothing greatness Valentine’s Day ultimo pharmacies alpha 2016 PSI water Australian demographics McCrindle Speakers office space VET sector wedding community event Sydney Hills Business Chamber marriage social commentator 2016 census results Financial Planning Week organisations weather teach baby name technology sydneysiders wage 10 years data language English business index cost of living internships school students professional going out mining boom Gen Y brand gender sector wide Northern Beaches Christian School communication house price NT The Daily Edition social trends budget collaboration wolloomooloo renter of the future suburbs Tuesday Trends personalities insights celebration marriages sports earnings IT Specialists world mythbusting interactive identity professional development high school Generation X sector cancelling plans Geoff Brailey learner public holiday holidays wellbeing moreton bay housing growth winter blues millennials equip high density living report keynote property market monarchy Queensland: QLD 2014 prince george cancelling event child care Financial Planning Association dream investor results NEETs aged care puzzle Australian Bureau of Statistics Australian Population futurist 23 million Netflix meals proactive waverton community social life EFF generation environmental scanning Australian schools snapshot SMART System's Architect internet tv speakers real education research REIV Conference quote trend tuesday sydney speaker baby names parenting norwest insight pyrmont neutral bay baby name trends state home owner brisbane skills SMSF digital sunny days 1968 emerging generations seasons learning winter census Macquarie University future of education Scouts brand experience builders trends of 2016 commute #censusfail christmas Andrew Duffin future rent Mark McCrindle Western Australia motivate careers long weekend Births faux-cilising housing affordability offenders households mortgage home coffee faux-cilise Australian Dream politics shopper's pick environment blaxland panel pharmacy the average aussie cloudy days Tuesday Trend Royals social research wealth Duchess of Cambridge the hills shire etiquette Channel 7 baby ipswich fears Australians forecasting ACF university rise of local huffington post sentiments healthy future engage omnibus divorce rate cancel plans spirituality media activity video data analyst hello fresh anzac urban living safe Assistant Store Manager ease of travel millionth gen alpha baby boom supply and demand religion charity education sector australian communities forum university degree suburban living product darwin story survey design the hills New Zeland property price emerging technologies stats generational trends kate middleton innovation workshop community engagement local communities social princess charlotte shbc Myth future-proof workplace Christmas lunch Wagga Wagga baby name predictions forum trends innovative public speaking national wealth cartodb national crime rates TAS marrickville father's day census 2016 internship Work place aussie culture cultural diversity news census results conferences Generation Y wages Christmas season christian demographic transformations litter weekly earnings jobs of the future outsourcing Australian Trends online shopping Tasmania public speaker potts point shifts urban living index 1975 debt schools students optimistic responsive business Crime Rates forecast visualisation SA deloitte overcast mccrindle Caregiver WA life poker master list consumer resilience group research services national private wealth annual income parents baby names report research pack lalor park post rationalism retirement rising house prices entrepreneurs of today breakfast social change eliane mother's day year 12 participants ACF 2016 Australia Day 2017 Real Estate Merry Christmas woolworths focus groups media media release royal baby growing population personal growth manly population map crows nest ageing population learn professional services demographer 1994 ethnography work The ABC of XYZ presentations ferry Research Executive middle class tea vegetarian google organisational culture sun leadership JOMO mccrindle in the media challenge Australia Day survey Population Clock society entertainment Hills Shire Council Adelaide belief google for education research report "know the times" communications office baby boomers social shifts priorities Vocational education student affordable Sydney housing market home ownership christianity domestic crime poor Christmas presents mover and shaker relevant professional speaker Education Future Forum Word Up social researcher future proof high density goal work-life balance tips trends analyst publication ABS Christchurch house australian social research research data Australian communities Gen X Wellington Sydney keynote speaker socialising selfie market research living summer newspaper lifestyle TDE paying to work house prices GPO social commentary friendship recap acf15 Bathburst World Water Day sustainable bondi ashley mckenzie happiness Kirsten Brewer men rule keeper area easter tableau financial dreams young people future of work educhat keynote speaker 1980 moderators guide social media optus housing typical australian australia daily telegraph logan Social Trend teleworking change youth unemployment mentor economy media commentary increasing densification storytelling global financial crisis employment royal social issues financial future schools names spend trends of 2017 narcissism infographic wall gold coast thrive criminal Engineering Manager hornsby group session small business easy rider teachers investing population workplace culture not for profit social impact mobile case study energy NBRS Architecture debate graphs car Hornsby Shire Council workforce buildings townhouses financial fears training transport focus group average aussie holiday education future report bus sydney event urban taskforce travel FOMO Aussies toys Australian Home not-for-profit Wodonga dessert tattoos engagement rain sydney hills low density Canberra wealth and income wealth distribution Northern beaches Event dreaming jobs household DIY marketing daily commute global generations work mates local VET income census fail government award meetings 2012 food 24,000,000 grave decision population growth NBRS 2017 event residents travelling FPA finance collaborative menai trades owning a home millenials housing trends capital city children leader future proofing divorce rental stress leadership workshop school changing face of sydney REIV National Conference teacher educated australian communities trends report facts Financial Planning Association of Australia analysis relational award winner business performance earn new office megatrends friends research visualisation states staying in eliane miles customer population milestone Northern Beaches Charlotte contiki social enquiry sunburnt country presentation baby names australia report Aussie perth train dare to dream brands Love city hills shire Queensland CBD faith Australian Census 24 million generations employers repayments qualitative research NSW suburb families faux-ciliser Deaths investment unemployment staff social lives Skilling Territory conference presentation cost high density apartments urban networking property sector wide study Kiwi volunteers James Ward earning tuesday ageing non profit demographic DESTEL renting online students culture house price rise goals bureau unaffordable define ashley fell shopping Northern Territory financial cars slideshare medicine consumerism vegemite experience demographics education future sydneycity the changing face of VIC global cold curiosity cooking Real Estate Institute of Victoria Melbourne optus my business awards statistics follow stay home thought leadership wealth and income distribution hopes plans generation Z infographic know the times affordability HSC click mccrindle tea education authenticity the australian dream royal influence sydney metro learning styles geomapping

Archive