Census Update - In the media

Thursday, April 13, 2017

The Australian Census has been conducted every 5 years since 1911, and is the biggest democratic activity in Australia. While the election last year counted 14 million votes, the 2016 Census includes every household, age group, resident and visitor – all 24 million of us.

Here’s everything you need to know about the preliminary Census results, painting a picture of our changing nation.

WHO IS THE TYPICAL AUSSIE?

The typical Australian is a 38 year-old Gen X woman, born in 1979, who can expect to live past the age of 85. She is married with two children and lives in one of Australia’s capital city (like 3 in 5 Australians), which is worth $825,980 and which she owns with a mortgage. She has $427,847 equity in their home, which is the bulk of her wealth. She works full-time and gets to work by car, along with 69% of all commuters.

HOW IS AUSTRALIA CHANGING?

We are ageing

The median age of Australians has increased from 37 to 38 (from the 2011 to the 2016 Census). Queensland has shown a strong leap in ageing (from 36 to 38), as has the Northern Territory (from a median age of 31 in 2011 to 34 in 2016).

We are culturally diverse

Three states (NSW, VIC, and WA) now feature their ‘typical’ resident as a person who has at least one parent born overseas. In NSW, China is now the top country of birth for residents born overseas and in VIC the top country for residents born overseas is India.

Owning a home outright is not as common anymore

The typical person across all of the states and territories now no longer owns a home outright, but with a mortgage. Only NSW and TAS feature the typical person who owns a home outright, and in the NT, the typical person is renting their home.

McCrindle In the media

Mark McCrindle on The Daily Edition

Eliane Miles on SBS News

Mark McCrindle on Seven News

McCrindle In the media





Supply and demand; Australia as an ageing nation

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

DEMAND: AUSTRALIA AS AN AGEING NATION

A CLEAR AGEING TRAJECTORY

Australia is experiencing a baby boom, with births exceeding 300,000 a year. 30 years ago, the over 65s made up just 11% of our population (one in nine persons). Today the over 65s make up 15% of our population (one in seven). Forecasts project that this cohort will make up 18% in 2027 (one in six). By 2047 one in five Australians (20%) will be aged over 65.

AGEING SOCIETY

Our median age is also increasing. Three decades ago the median age of an Australian was 31.3. Today it is 37.4 and in 2047 it is projected to be just under 40.

85+ POPULATION

The over 85s, where there is an even greater need for aged care services, are growing at a faster rate than the over 65s. In 1987 there were 133,448 Australians aged over 85. Today there are four times as many, and in 2047 there will 14 times as many.

INCREASED LONGEVITY

Not only are there more older people in our nation, but Australians are living longer than ever before. Life expectancy at birth in 1987 was 76.3, whereas today it is 81 for a male and 85 for a female. In 2047, it is projected to 89.9.

HEALTH ADVANCEMENTS ARE INCREASING LONGEVITY

The primary enabler of this increased longevity gain has been the health system rather than individual behaviour. Life expectancy increases will continue because of improved medical technologies, public health infrastructure and better public health measures. New and improved medical interventions will also contribute, as will the improved survivability rates of major illnesses and cancers.

A decade ago, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease were the 6th largest causes of death in Australia. Today they are the 3rd leading causes of death with the number of deaths having more than doubled to 9,864. Over the same period of time, deaths due to the first and second causes of death (heart disease and brain disease) have been decreasing. If today’s current trend continues, by 2021 dementia and Alzheimer’s disease will be the leading cause of death in Australia.

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH OF CENTENARIANS WILL KEEP THE QUEEN BUSY

In 1952, the year that Queen Elizabeth II became sovereign, 40 letters of congratulations would need to have been written to Australians turning 100. This year, 2,925 Australians will turn 100 and in 10 years 5,401 will turn 100. In 30 years the number of congratulatory letters written to Australians turning 100 will increase to 25,938 in the year 2047.

SUPPLY: AUSTRALIA AS AN AGEING NATION

THE CHALLENGE OF SUPPLY

Not only is there an increasing demand on the services provided by the aged care sector with the growing number of over 85s, there is also a workforce supply challenge.

RATIO OF WORKERS TO RETIREES DECLINING

The ageing population will place greater demands for productivity on the labour force. In 1975 for every person of retirement age there were 7.1 people in the working age population. By 2015 there were just 4.5 people of working age for every individual of retirement age, and this is projected to decline to just 2.7 people of working age for every individual at retirement age by 2055.

IMPENDING RETIREMENTS

Because of the high median age of an employee in the aged care sector, half of the aged care workforce will be of retirement age in 15 years. There are 350,000 workers in the aged care sector (estimated in 2012), so this equates to an average of 11,667 retirements per year for the next 15 years. This averages to 972 farewell lunches per month!

If we are to keep the current ratio of aged care workers to people aged over 85 in our nation, we need to add 129,945 workers in the next 10 years. This equates to recruiting 1,083 new workers per month, in addition to replacing the 972 retiring staff per month.

That’s a total recruitment goal of 2,055 each month – adding nearly 25,000 individuals to Australia’s aged care workforce each year.

GET IN TOUCH

To find out more about McCrindle's expertise in the aged care industry, or how we can communicate these insights to your team, please get in touch.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

40 million household commuters January 26th shbc budget McCrindle Speakers research services trends of 2017 non profit australian social research affordability fresh home owner cartodb Do It Yourself teachers year 12 tableau Sydney clothing #censusfail google social commentator manly intern income ABS VET sector 1980 consumer EFF litter meetings media activity staff financial independence future of education investment dessert unemployment ultimo TDE 2017 women Kirsten Brewer Generation X households politics entrepreneurs of today visual wolloomooloo sydney metro train anzac emerging technologies national private wealth wealth and income distribution medicine authenticity sun Scouts suburbs generations seasons economy darwin learning brands overcast national crime rates Valentine’s Day award winner tv environment Christmas lunch resilience learner 23 million Australians increasing densification acf15 NSW nfp goal future proof the hills entrepreneurial urban living index baby name Australia Day 2017 eliane spend royal influence happiness home suburban living NEETs ashley fell skills bus World Water Day not for profit qualitative research Christchurch speakers poor sector focus groups forecasting environmental scanning housing trends presentations public holiday real housing Social Trend define social research sydneycity population growth hills shire Word Up ageing population rent commute Queensland: QLD owning a home Netflix WA office opening trends of 2016 Skilling wealth distribution Vocational education menai unaffordable future proofing grave decision village the australian dream GPO teleworking australian communities trends report future of work optimistic teaching TAS career alpha collaboration in the media demographer Aussies NBRS Architecture 24 million wealth goals outsourcing futurist communicate visualisation financial fears charity professional development baby boom cost of living 1975 earn Christmas season sydney speaker change buildings VIC government marrickville trend tuesday high density apartments trends analyst results learning styles future case study workplace culture Bathburst waverton social shifts 1968 potts point conferences "know the times" victoria ideas South Australia christmas personal growth 10 years FPA brand baby names australia report Res Vis Tuesday Trends community cooking schools wedding priorities insight poker master toys property price students cars gen z travelling research visualisation global generations James Ward generational trends weekly earnings youth sector wide megatrends renting Channel Seven dare to dream millennials infographic wall cash land of the middle class high density media release royal family demographic Australia Day finance leadership workshop office pyrmont online norwest hello fresh couple 2016 demographic transformations Australian Trends personalities the average aussie blaxland office space Australian Census Australian schools state curiosity parents society logan business index mccrindle in the media follow hornsby careers work-life recap ethnography financial dreams video going out jobs data analyst demographic trends student Adelaide daily commute easter cancelling plans house price rise economic business performance emerging trends balance research data February 16 pharmacies baby name trends social issues sydney hills optus data visualisation Royals language families internship media fears Northern Beaches 24,000,000 research report healthy future teacher spirituality Geoff Brailey google for education New Zeland 2012 brisbane list friends Western Australia trades cloudy days urban taskforce renter of the future Gen Y safe innovation census fail demographics the changing face of snapshot new office survey 1994 experience low density rich forum census 2016 australia event facts typical australian Australian Home investor tertiary education criminal Assistant Store Manager survey design staying in brand experience neutral bay statistics year 7 presentation house prices housing affordability princess charlotte slideshare newspaper REIV National Conference narcissism university The Daily Edition Australian Communities Trends sunburnt country 2015 residents Education Future Forum coffee organisations food parenting water emerging generations consumerism System's Architect cold global financial crisis culturally diverse marketing cultural diversity global NT Australian communities deloitte focus group baby names report social media mortgage travel mythbusters pharmacy optus my business awards gender Tasmania innovative area geomapping middle class social lives Hills Shire Council domestic sports trend capital city work mates Channel 7 SMSF lalor park public speaking internships conference insights shifts Australian Bureau of Statistics hobart New Zealand professional speaker meals relational infographic work PSI eliane miles gen alpha world youth day omnibus kate middleton social impact cancelling event new york times social researcher ACF SA car community engagement high school house weather debate faux-cilising sector wide study christian conference presentation dreaming mateship learn SMART Tuesday Trend mythbusting townhouses grandparents award Macquarie University hopes baby name predictions community event property 2016 census results debt earning divorce rate challenge population map not-for-profit study Real Estate Institute of Victoria baby young people house price winter blues equip aged care puzzle Territory thrive keynote speaker tattoos aussie culture leadership holidays small business financial socialites christianity ipswich social life 2016 census gold coast shopper's pick REIV Conference Sydney keynote speaker sydney event communication technology bondi Financial Planning Week wage sustainable city shopping Myth states Andrew Duffin graphs bureau prince george breakfast analysis names teach stay home Engineering Manager contiki australians staying home more employers aged care media commentary investing property market CBD employment educated summer generation alpha baby names resource annual income local data divorce etiquette religion DIY identity Australian Dream organisational culture jobs of the future family easy rider twentyseventeen social enquiry leader FOMO Real Estate rental stress VET sydneysiders belief communities transport post rationalism home ownership ACF 2016 child care generation events society trends wealth and income in depth interviews royal baby vegemite earnings lifestyle the hills shire Financial Planning Association education research national wealth growing population research holiday engage mover and shaker millenials life daily telegraph 2014 Canberra Wodonga rain panel australian communities forum royal publication moreton bay JOMO school satisfaction story professional celebration tea IT Specialists Duchess of Cambridge mccrindle Hornsby Shire Council Crime Rates cost socialising urban education sector mining boom social commentary housing market online shopping quote Wellington Financial Planning Association of Australia mccrindle research forecast relevant Aussie Queensland Merry Christmas dream supply and demand future-proof Research Executive Melbourne Mark McCrindle school students internet digital 2013 storytelling Australian Families ease of travel moderators guide changing face of sydney Deaths millionth New South Wales population milestone click crime DESTEL participants Wagga Wagga public speaker networking sentiments offenders culture engagement thought leadership mother's day perth interactive market research woolworths responsive volunteers entrepreneur Australian demographics marriages Love census rule keeper crows nest selfie monarchy Caregiver faux-cilise rising house prices program faux-ciliser generation Z Northern Territory father's day The ABC of XYZ housing growth wellbeing children proactive financial future researcher faith Northern Beaches Christian School training growth mccrindle tea retirement population paying to work communications school huffington post Charlotte greatness tips urban living repayments world trends friendship research pack long weekend local communities marriage group session news workshop men capital cities social change workplace English ageing wages Sydney Hills Business Chamber Christmas presents entertainment ferry census results youth unemployment Gen X education future educhat cancel plans mobile product energy social workforce vegetarian report Births motivate collaborative conference speaker baby boomers salary ashley mckenzie know the times stats social researchers education builders church mentor Australian Population keynote Work place HSC apartment Population Clock winter sunny days living young australians Northern beaches Event rise of local NBRS tuesday high density living social analysis university degree affordable professional services social trends Generation Y average aussie business group ACT plans customer schools students Kiwi education future report 2020 suburb

Archive