A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


the hills shire generational trends cancelling plans housing affordability ashley mckenzie social change teaching Australian demographics shbc visualisation Kirsten Brewer mover and shaker toys property market organisations analysis apartments training DESTEL office space supply and demand hopes Generation X global Melbourne property price Tuesday Trend ageing ashley fell Financial Planning Association apartment tertiary education hobart housing market teach 24,000,000 waverton young people James Ward trends analyst HSC optus my business awards wealth and income pharmacy SA Crime Rates young australians careers geomapping Sydney Hills Business Chamber Channel Seven australians staying home more high school baby name meals social commentator mateship impact high density household NSW offenders relational aged care puzzle economic survey design student marriages tips learning styles plans brand experience ACF 2016 professional development logan future of shopping ease of travel System's Architect village group ABS princess charlotte social enquiry REIV Conference education future skills thought leadership lifestyle Generation Y generation Z learning Scouts presentation forecast Aussies salary millenials daily commute workforce priorities economy education 10 years domestic unaffordable bus sunny days learn FPA award winner year 7 Channel 7 language Charlotte #censusfail growth australian communities forum urban living population growth dream NBRS Architecture greatness engagement residents city earnings population map cloudy days Territory career households house social researcher jobs dare to dream hornsby insights anzac demographic trends bondi renting cost of living youth unemployment going out youth gender government global generations home community event real jobs of the future authenticity REIV National Conference eliane society keynote futurist proactive rich business performance debate future ageing population social experience average Australian tuesday mobile graphs eliane miles work mates in the media potts point investor hills shire WA event spend finance researcher demographer transport friends trends Adelaide 2014 income sports internships Myth "know the times" in depth interviews workplace culture consumer data visualisation Australian Trends entrepreneur innovation quote cost statistics mccrindle tea Northern Beaches Christian School family presentations 2015 suburbs rental stress NBRS Social Trend mythbusting father's day ACF crows nest wolloomooloo 23 million moderators guide communication overcast recap baby names report middle class demography environmental scanning national wealth change study deloitte capital city teleworking financial lalor park royal bureau school The Daily Edition wedding Wagga Wagga teachers marriage shopping goal cold fears house prices generations grandparents goals educated baby boom South Australia Western Australia christmas responsive generation alpha business index social media cultural diveristy google life education future report Love social issues happiness pharmacies shopper's pick Tasmania census 2016 sector wide study states state school students average aussie typical australian Queensland IT Specialists Australians education research results property cartodb dreaming suburb church SMART teacher conferences Financial Planning Week wealth and income distribution population cash World Water Day men CPI internet shifts resource ipswich facts new york times social trends Northern Beaches gen alpha optus New Zeland holidays Sydney rain keynote speaker ideas focus groups housing online water paying to work winter blues sydney hills nfp small business census data innovative suburban living weather ethnography christianity media activity Duchess of Cambridge tea children narcissism social researchers energy train high density apartments acf15 wellbeing global financial crisis media collaborative group session focus group future proof interactive mythbusters vegemite baby boomers 2017 aussie culture insight product average sydneysider millionth dessert housing trends the australian dream entertainment moreton bay capital cities public speaking Royals TDE urban taskforce relevant world youth day daily telegraph australian communities trends report staying in Netflix public speaker schools students sustainable VET slideshare Christmas presents 2020 Caregiver sydneycity communities Vocational education low density social shifts kate middleton travelling local communities NT population milestone shopping centre events sydneysiders budget list program cancelling event curiosity year 12 baby names staff consumerism monarchy society trends pyrmont social research qualitative research emerging technologies 2016 SRE 2013 report home ownership townhouses conference speaker Australia Day 2017 vegetarian twentyseventeen 2016 census research pack New Zealand motivate story baby names australia report communicate charity new office purpose Wellington world census market research students DIY Education Future Forum sydney event norwest 40 million land of the middle class communications panel criminal Births emerging trends customer urban living index mentor parenting professional rising house prices professional speaker emerging generations Wodonga Christchurch politics not-for-profit brands internship healthy future divorce huffington post employment The ABC of XYZ travel ferry urban selfie snapshot Kiwi storytelling know the times visual demographics retirement forecasting royal baby 1968 christian infographic wall CBD January 26th office opening VIC annual income fresh growing population NEETs personal growth research spirituality Tuesday Trends summer community leadership Population Clock investing poker master intern survey Geoff Brailey optimistic national private wealth blaxland victoria Research Executive organisational culture religion Australian Home 1980 TAS Merry Christmas New South Wales demographic transformations personalities university university degree prince george resilience the hills challenge repayments unemployment coffee conference changing face of sydney online shopping identity engage research services Australian Families neutral bay rule keeper Sydney keynote speaker marrickville Andrew Duffin business faith Financial Planning Association of Australia national crime rates case study belief wages Mark McCrindle future of education networking Skilling JOMO environment renter of the future Australian Census grave decision social impact sydney metro volunteers ultimo speakers entrepreneurs of today manly census results high density living hello fresh digital define etiquette mccrindle women menai royal influence 2012 easy rider conference presentation learner thrive house price future proofing culture data analyst workplace micro not for profit FOMO child care google for education mother's day professional services omnibus mining boom Bathburst australia area local community tv the changing face of commuters Assistant Store Manager newspaper wealth award seasons baby cars names entrepreneurial wage Gen Y perth sector wide food Christmas lunch non profit stay home research data divorce rate sentiments media release earning faux-ciliser infographic schools cooking Australian schools holiday celebration social commentary news easter australian social research owning a home culturally diverse social lives social life micro apartments wealth distribution financial dreams builders woolworths clothing Australian Bureau of Statistics outsourcing trades socialising rent employers Deaths Queensland: QLD sector Christmas season friendship weekly earnings English equip Valentine’s Day click research visualisation workshop megatrends balance local trends of 2016 leadership workshop leader financial future follow tableau marketing mccrindle in the media safe Hornsby Shire Council affordable Australian Dream technology house price rise breakfast post rationalism investment faux-cilising commute media commentary living Res Vis Engineering Manager research report Do It Yourself work future of work 1975 forum aged care darwin PSI litter Work place trend long weekend Australia Day educhat data trends of 2017 Aussie poor school satisfaction crime Canberra royal family increasing densification sydneysider trend tuesday SMSF faux-cilise participants meetings medicine community engagement Word Up gen z mortgage education sector Real Estate Institute of Victoria debt cultural diversity McCrindle Speakers rise of local cancel plans VET sector future-proof financial independence 24 million February 16 video public holiday social analysis financial fears millennials sydney speaker brisbane demographic buildings Gen X socialites earn sun affordability Australian communities winter parents generation work-life the average aussie baby name trends stats families home owner collaboration 1994 contiki Australian Communities Trends census fail Real Estate alpha gold coast office brand Australian Population Macquarie University cica GPO mccrindle research publication 2016 census results baby name predictions Northern Territory Northern beaches Event sunburnt country EFF couple Hills Shire Council car ACT housing growth tattoos