A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


energy capital cities customer thrive women offenders Social Trend shifts young people generation workplace property price graphs optus Love new york times families conference speaker high density apartments thought leadership the hills shire Real Estate January 26th snapshot Vocational education 2016 census cartodb office space market research brand builders child care future proofing state generation alpha socialites marrickville challenge internet office Wagga Wagga households follow hello fresh urban high density living group relational fears list communities education future report perth baby boomers demographer meetings water safe youth moreton bay sunburnt country Australia Day 2017 Generation Y research SA global Gen X sector wide equip wages stats social research Melbourne gen alpha society couple Channel Seven faith Sydney keynote speaker aussie culture research data school students skills work mates faux-ciliser conference event recap story lalor park local communities manly sentiments happiness trades poker master collaborative cost of living intern entrepreneur Australian Census research services small business study youth unemployment financial independence social impact debt 1994 Christmas lunch Australian communities sydney hills 24,000,000 Sydney Hills Business Chamber capital city emerging trends greatness baby boom consumerism educated house price rise baby names report population map sun Sydney charity forum business index community event increasing densification faux-cilise Wellington unaffordable annual income program debate changing face of sydney wealth and income distribution eliane miles students training English repayments demographic transformations overcast Northern Beaches Myth winter blues James Ward going out baby names australia report Andrew Duffin goal Australian demographics global financial crisis VET spirituality Deaths demographic states darwin trends of 2017 identity megatrends Northern Beaches Christian School living home owner #censusfail sydneysiders clothing office opening Res Vis retirement google for education google World Water Day baby names schools students System's Architect generations geomapping financial dreams transport mccrindle tea visual 1968 online Australians criminal public speaker goals wedding events entertainment housing growth social commentator culture leadership REIV Conference Tuesday Trends 1975 research pack emerging technologies spend Births omnibus South Australia ideas economic logan the hills internships organisations dare to dream renting learning styles housing trends responsive stay home suburbs social trends marriages investor wage staying in Kiwi brisbane optus my business awards future of work VET sector education future leader entrepreneurial 2013 home ownership workplace culture wolloomooloo Christchurch census results Tuesday Trend learn low density mateship environment dessert cancel plans wealth Christmas presents survey cooking aged care puzzle millionth urban living index divorce EFF renter of the future tableau ashley fell easy rider tertiary education mccrindle research balance award winner NSW Australian Home 40 million moderators guide award Australian Communities Trends staff Western Australia dream Research Executive national crime rates February 16 national wealth finance ageing TAS home mythbusters meals social researcher online shopping participants resilience Caregiver pharmacy Wodonga media commentary results long weekend government mccrindle in the media ACF 2016 brand experience rich 2020 New Zeland cancelling event Crime Rates consumer eliane christianity marriage FOMO census fail not for profit technology know the times trends of 2016 Australian Bureau of Statistics affordable ABS SMSF research report father's day IT Specialists storytelling language Australian Dream sydney metro futurist australian communities trends report shopping huffington post social shifts Duchess of Cambridge nfp focus group Territory car workshop tips Mark McCrindle Assistant Store Manager rising house prices train professional development education social enquiry publication unemployment generation Z mentor divorce rate Macquarie University 23 million McCrindle Speakers social change household deloitte slideshare define grandparents princess charlotte university degree high density authenticity the changing face of mobile christmas education sector innovation royal family click wealth and income cold travelling Scouts crows nest presentations Australian Trends communication daily commute woolworths data New South Wales lifestyle cultural diversity travel urban taskforce engage contiki neutral bay in the media Engineering Manager keynote speaker Australian Population GPO parents townhouses Australia Day rule keeper millenials post rationalism toys 2014 data analyst trend Merry Christmas Skilling belief collaboration vegemite cost earnings victoria wellbeing social media schools proactive demographic trends media menai healthy future demographics sydneycity family rain leadership workshop Aussies ease of travel culturally diverse ACT visualisation the average aussie cancelling plans men career education research Channel 7 social researchers ultimo Hornsby Shire Council growth bus REIV National Conference land of the middle class insights politics learner tattoos PSI housing market Population Clock school satisfaction economy world youth day urban living ageing population crime cars investment church video vegetarian panel growing population australia ferry tea friends weather commuters weekly earnings australians staying home more DESTEL ethnography Queensland 1980 population milestone blaxland population Royals cloudy days winter housing school earn food 2017 hobart Generation X holiday Adelaide children 2012 high school world university seasons resource rent grave decision dreaming jobs of the future gold coast work motivate population growth employers shbc product income conferences Do It Yourself researcher baby daily telegraph paying to work professional 2016 census mortgage relevant trend tuesday tuesday employment internship mover and shaker gen z residents personalities australian social research the australian dream royal influence Kirsten Brewer experience HSC teaching Netflix networking local optimistic Queensland: QLD baby name keynote young australians Gen Y census 2016 middle class faux-cilising ACF Northern Territory royal Christmas season global generations life area digital house price litter statistics social commentary not-for-profit innovative trends medicine professional services royal baby aged care year 12 potts point workforce property non profit social interactive Hills Shire Council celebration learning hopes Financial Planning Association of Australia priorities community australian communities forum NBRS suburban living 10 years salary Geoff Brailey year 7 holidays case study mccrindle apartment affordability Education Future Forum coffee social analysis house prices future proof new office property market communications qualitative research professional speaker buildings pharmacies engagement emerging generations 2016 census results norwest city housing affordability plans etiquette earning NEETs careers names bondi in depth interviews survey design sector supply and demand forecast JOMO group session ashley mckenzie speakers average aussie Canberra sydney speaker media activity friendship generational trends organisational culture NBRS Architecture sports focus groups pyrmont parenting national private wealth analysis rise of local Northern beaches Event WA Word Up work-life commute Financial Planning Association brands trends analyst The Daily Edition socialising sector wide study poor sustainable cash fresh society trends ipswich Tasmania Work place baby name predictions bureau tv personal growth quote easter Australian Families business performance The ABC of XYZ alpha sydney event hornsby TDE New Zealand NT curiosity volunteers Australian schools infographic Charlotte VIC mother's day marketing jobs mining boom Real Estate Institute of Victoria owning a home financial domestic teach media release entrepreneurs of today monarchy future-proof breakfast infographic wall christian Valentine’s Day future FPA anzac gender communicate religion village facts news educhat SMART 24 million data visualisation newspaper teleworking conference presentation environmental scanning narcissism suburb forecasting house acf15 financial fears summer 2015 Bathburst waverton prince george social lives budget community engagement social life student mythbusting teacher presentation rental stress hills shire CBD financial future business shopper's pick baby name trends outsourcing public holiday DIY social issues insight Aussie research visualisation selfie future of education typical australian change Financial Planning Week "know the times" teachers wealth distribution report sunny days investing public speaking real kate middleton millennials twentyseventeen