Q and A: An ageing population and the birth rate

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Is Australia’s population ageing partly because there are more women remaining childless, mothers having fewer children and overall fewer babies being born?

It is true that Australia’s population is ageing with the midpoint in our population – the median age having increased from 30 to 37 in the span of 3 decades. However this is largely due to increased longevity and not at all to do with declining births.

In fact Australia is in the midst of a baby boom with the numbers of births setting new records this decade- having exceeded 300,000 births per year, every year since 2008. This is almost twice as many births as Australia experienced in 1946- the year that saw the arrival of the first Baby Boomers. While the peak of Australia’s original baby boom occurred in 1961 with a fertility rate of 3.5 (babies per 1,000 women), which is almost twice the current fertility rate of 1.9, total annual births currently exceed the 1961 record of 240,000 births by more than 60,000.

So the current baby boom is much larger than this original 16 year baby boom (1946-1961) and the total Australian births in the 16 years from 2008 will produce almost 5 million babies – around 1.5 million more than the post-war boom.

Not only are there more babies than ever, but there are more women who are mothers as well. There are more than 6.5 million Australian women aged over 18 who have given birth which is almost 70% of them. It is the case that women are having children later in life with the median age of mothers having increased from 25.5 four decades ago to 30.8 today. However the fertility rates have increased not decreased in the last decade, up from 1.7 in the early 2000’s to 1.9 today. And as for the proportion of women in Australia who will have no children in their lifetime – it remains at 1 in 4 which is a figure unchanged over a generation. Therefore of the women who will have children, the average number of children is actually 2.5.

So Australian mothers are more numerous than ever, collectively parenting more children than ever and on average raising between 2 and 3 of this largest generation in Australia’s history.

More information can be found in Mark McCrindle’s book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding The Global Generations.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


wellbeing TDE moderators guide group session train shopping 2016 census results australian communities trends report social researchers Western Australia younger generations ageing population bureau consumer poker master statistics 2015 Christmas presents school students Australian Home internet SRE professional services conference house prices Christmas data Queensland: QLD nativity scene Deaths shopping centre wolloomooloo sector wide commuters VET language social research Financial Planning Association list retirement Christmas lunch happiness apartments annual income digital economy ideas volunteers The ABC of XYZ geomapping Australian Trends youth unemployment analysis Word Up cartodb challenge English newspaper census data leader business index ethnography data renting conferences socialites charities Australian Dream outsourcing Sydney keynote speaker cash January 26th royal influence Sydney Hills Business Chamber organisations holiday economy hills shire marriages india survey design public speaking high density apartments experience safe Tasmania teleworking 1975 housing growth toys australian social research presentation friends Christmas season engagement research visualisation ACT technology young people real global generaion facts research report schools students showreel australia tertiary education housing national private wealth weather ageing CBD 2016 Retail research thought leadership future proofing Scouts coffee lovers infographics university degree local community social issues qualitative research stay home SMSF baby boom insights ACT Report cultural diversity debt australian community trends report 1968 global lalor park Jura Australia Australia street etiquette sentiments Christmas in Australia Christmas Stats prince george sydneysider forecast mccrindle tea population Northern beaches Event Wodonga future proof housing trends World Water Day omnibus growth Black Friday in Australia engage data visualisation report trends analyst McCrindle Keynote Speakers Population Clock training life Do It Yourself the hills shire hello fresh panel pyrmont sports 2014 owning a home 10 years property price offenders eliane education future report product urban cancelling event TED talk renter of the future paying to work case study financial dreams work mates snapshot demographic ACF2017 national wealth System's Architect baby high density living Australian Population rule keeper generation alpha USA generation Z news giving Melbourne group event speaker capital city energy ashley mckenzie Duchess of Cambridge mother's day intern HSC social commentary screenage Understanding and Engaging with Generation Z media the great screenage poor employers entertainment home ownership Gen Y Hills Shire Council 2013 monarchy cancelling plans vegemite trend financial planning study sydneysiders young australians Channel Seven public holiday teachers Sydney ease of travel storytelling GPO Mark McCrindle Northern Beaches equip tuesday maiden names children brand McCridle budget innovative hornsby DIY proactive hobart megatrends HR generational trends media release society trends volunteering christmas slideshare bus define 2017 wealth inequality house eliane miles surnames state not-for-profit research data dare to dream donation 24 million christianity Myth going out teacher Geoff Brailey local property market trades princess charlotte personalities spirituality researcher educhat dessert PSI optus my business awards JOMO goal office social change jobs of the future urban living index crime surname meetings award collaboration investor brand experience city google baby boomers rain Engineering Manager leadership Hornsby Shire Council New Zeland education research goals collaborative living royal baby faux-cilise Aussie food bank balance recap Black Friday society middle class 2016 census Canberra quote keynote online shopping medicine social shifts ACF 2016 village thrive global retail socialising office space teach Gen Z Expert woolworths tableau casual Australian demographics tv gen z speakers WA property development school curiosity conference speaker cica sun Valentine’s Day Real Estate Institute of Victoria charity families crows nest Australian community trends cost of living hills Netflix NFP event learning styles demographic transformations contiki Wellington publication IT Specialists house price rise TED data analyst millenials TEDx census fail mateship local communities motivate workshop Australian communities wage authenticity post rationalism learn fears Australian schools Mark McCrindle in the media buildings Channel 7 events mccrindle communities TEDx Speaker healthy future men the changing face of video selfie new office sydney market townhouses holidays survey grave decision students Generation Y financial independence leadership workshop brands 23 million emerging trends acf15 australian future of work grandparents micro apartments future of shopping food personal growth global generation demographer politics Charlotte low density sector wide study South Australia workforce wealth mythbusters Performance Sentiment Index Australian Bureau of Statistics Kiwi DESTEL social lives names research on coffee Australia Day 2017 sydney property market social researcher workplace culture income cultural diveristy population map Kirsten Brewer average aussie follow learning neutral bay mccrindle research plans the average aussie cooking debate Adelaide know the times NSW social investing keynote speaker census results staying in volunteer Work place Australians Lower Hunter sydney hills education sector mythbusting education future sunny days population growth census Australia Day entrepreneurs of today career menai rent seasons greetings culture presentations royal year 7 McCrindle Speaker community engagement school satisfaction hunger tattoos 1980 in the media cloudy days professional development communication social life aged care story Hunter Valley February 16 Christchurch gold coast relational live the dream conference presentation suburbs house price parenting work sydneycity 1995 mobile deloitte logan student What is food insecurity? parents work from home gig winter blues typical australian seasons unaffordable jobs innovation family manly market research staff networking VIC increasing densification Christmas day weather home owner couple growth of sydney litter church Macquarie University trends of 2017 organisational culture australians staying home more do people still change their surname after marriage? home millennials "know the times" Christmas research Australian Families speakers pack happy holidays in depth interviews ferry commute speajer shopper's pick faith demographics futurist norwest marriage land of the middle class professional presenters online father's day future office opening youth trend tuesday car REIV National Conference care support Research Director baby name trends relevant change baby names report financial purpose world focus groups changing face of sydney Gen X Tuesday Trends Christmas day transport dream program baby names australia report Education Future Forum responsive James Ward daily commute victoria customer future of education new york times mccrindle in the media urban taskforce global financial crisis Skilling high density population milestone the australian dream infographic breakfast Real Estate business huffington post commuting pharmacy Births social enquiry public transport baby names employmee easy rider rise of local social analysis perth money McCrindle Speakers census 2016 Mount Annan-Currant Hill screenagers environmental scanning employmer the hills leadersip aged care puzzle wealth and income food insecurity REIV Conference NBRS Cobbitty-Leppington Love interactive marrickville Royals faux-cilising long weekend 2020 learner repayments the lucky country donate results wages sydney event ACF financial future Andrew Duffin world youth day sydney speaker education 24,000,000 travelling visualisation indonesia VET sector university earning coffee royal family average Australian Financial Planning Association of Australia vegetarian ABS entrepreneur average sydneysider 40 million suburban living volunteering data dreaming potts point tips social media baby name tea criminal emerging technologies lifestyle optimistic travel identity resource non profit china maiden Financial Planning Week work-life Maxim Accounting divorce forum 1994 graphs Wagga Wagga choice workers Tuesday Trend professional speaker click Territory rental stress The Daily Edition award winner community generation future-proof area FOMO priorities earnings chairty FPA moreton bay CPI emerging generations trends overcast cars Elderslie-Harrington park media activity mentor skills educated Northern Beaches Christian School social trends resilience affordable NBRS Architecture Merry Christmas Northern Territory celebration housing affordability shifts australian real estate women mining boom gig economy anzac cost professional Crime Rates sunburnt country social commentator unemployment water #censusfail stats Jura Coffee greatness NT Australian Communities Trends gender mover and shaker ipswich ACF17 government optus Vocational education internships cold sydney metro media commentary year 12 Aussies culturally diverse states dreams clothing participants Business analysis residents bondi wealth distribution meals EFF google for education religion New South Wales Caregiver alpha summer builders not for profit research services Sydney’s south west demographic trends financial fears child care baby name predictions social analyst capital cities urban living digital social impact shbc Willowdale brisbane daily telegraph high school households domestic employment economic affordability Queensland nfp communicate millionth careers US insight demography public speaker entrepreneurial consumerism wedding schools Sydney population 2012 NEETs Bathburst growing population finance salary cancel plans TAS earn environment Res Vis Generation X generations narcissism Sydney Lifestyle Study twentyseventeen supply and demand weekly earnings impact christmas trees trends of 2016 New Zealand Social Trend property pharmacies ultimo waverton household friendship christian divorce rate fresh SA teaching aussie culture marketing communications mortgage mccrinlde winter 2009 not for profit research easter community event workplace forecasting hopes sector small business belief national crime rates wealth and income distribution housing market Australian Census australian communities forum suburb Black Friday Sales micro darwin faux-ciliser rich research pack investment christmas 2017 infographic wall spend blaxland focus group Assistant Store Manager global generations urban development apartment Lower Hunter Region sustainable kate middleton business performance gen alpha internship Research Executive ashley fell SMART who is generation z visual rising house prices