Q and A: An ageing population and the birth rate

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Is Australia’s population ageing partly because there are more women remaining childless, mothers having fewer children and overall fewer babies being born?

It is true that Australia’s population is ageing with the midpoint in our population – the median age having increased from 30 to 37 in the span of 3 decades. However this is largely due to increased longevity and not at all to do with declining births.

In fact Australia is in the midst of a baby boom with the numbers of births setting new records this decade- having exceeded 300,000 births per year, every year since 2008. This is almost twice as many births as Australia experienced in 1946- the year that saw the arrival of the first Baby Boomers. While the peak of Australia’s original baby boom occurred in 1961 with a fertility rate of 3.5 (babies per 1,000 women), which is almost twice the current fertility rate of 1.9, total annual births currently exceed the 1961 record of 240,000 births by more than 60,000.

So the current baby boom is much larger than this original 16 year baby boom (1946-1961) and the total Australian births in the 16 years from 2008 will produce almost 5 million babies – around 1.5 million more than the post-war boom.

Not only are there more babies than ever, but there are more women who are mothers as well. There are more than 6.5 million Australian women aged over 18 who have given birth which is almost 70% of them. It is the case that women are having children later in life with the median age of mothers having increased from 25.5 four decades ago to 30.8 today. However the fertility rates have increased not decreased in the last decade, up from 1.7 in the early 2000’s to 1.9 today. And as for the proportion of women in Australia who will have no children in their lifetime – it remains at 1 in 4 which is a figure unchanged over a generation. Therefore of the women who will have children, the average number of children is actually 2.5.

So Australian mothers are more numerous than ever, collectively parenting more children than ever and on average raising between 2 and 3 of this largest generation in Australia’s history.

More information can be found in Mark McCrindle’s book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding The Global Generations.


Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

education sector unemployment Financial Planning Week celebration curiosity mccrindle sunburnt country NT follow crows nest collaborative politics faith internships cooking 24,000,000 high density consumer social commentator demographer commute emerging trends builders product sector rental stress HSC prince george cost of living trades population growth Channel Seven debate office opening acf15 faux-ciliser census easy rider mover and shaker mccrindle in the media personalities program deloitte The Daily Edition research social trends Births offenders baby names report GPO media commentary Royals organisations Australian Bureau of Statistics future of shopping gen alpha conference jobs of the future economic household newspaper tuesday dare to dream ipswich average sydneysider Australian Census community daily telegraph optus my business awards huffington post daily commute housing poor demographic teacher results Aussie sun leadership workshop IT Specialists future proofing residents criminal australian communities trends report NBRS Architecture survey long weekend language wealth and income waverton collaboration sydney event statistics FOMO sustainable train Northern Beaches experience motivate rich Geoff Brailey Work place home ownership Financial Planning Association pharmacy Australian communities faux-cilising lalor park futurist bureau relational water business performance future of work investment REIV Conference investing know the times coffee etiquette wolloomooloo urban future proof employment mccrindle tea holiday holidays global financial crisis government infographic education future church data visualisation Kiwi potts point local sydney hills wellbeing perth divorce market research logan trend tuesday volunteers optus apartments Melbourne media activity communicate demographic transformations Assistant Store Manager wedding 1994 report mythbusters home owner cancelling plans public speaking case study equip innovative christianity urban living index teach consumerism breakfast friends career 1975 moreton bay training Love national wealth the australian dream organisational culture australia communications food new office Northern Beaches Christian School aged care suburbs Hornsby Shire Council SMART infographic wall social research economy rain innovation mining boom cold socialising property price Tuesday Trends mccrindle research dreaming small business social commentary responsive university degree engagement education research kate middleton jobs 24 million mother's day work grave decision retirement sydney metro trends of 2017 weekly earnings goal middle class urban living trends analyst SRE seasons schools low density Financial Planning Association of Australia educated visualisation high density living shopping social media Do It Yourself Generation X leader researcher Charlotte entrepreneurs of today capital cities financial independence unaffordable stay home christian owning a home environmental scanning youth unemployment world youth day darwin teleworking internship Australian schools Kirsten Brewer royal family neutral bay research visualisation narcissism micro January 26th ACF public holiday young australians nfp cloudy days 40 million hills shire housing growth keynote speaker baby name predictions brands slideshare cars focus groups gen z click teaching balance graphs generational trends thrive Wodonga Sydney keynote speaker brisbane Australian demographics award Australians friendship learning wealth earn tv insight marrickville Australia Day new york times healthy future Australian Population millenials DIY mobile manly micro apartments ferry Bathburst Deaths omnibus rule keeper Australian Home australian communities forum school students future of education hobart interactive Netflix non profit financial generation alpha marriage ageing population weather entertainment EFF Word Up Wagga Wagga work-life panel greatness not-for-profit stats domestic social monarchy Canberra Australian Trends business professional development TAS victoria media list national private wealth change transport sports megatrends christmas conference speaker professional speaker media release the hills staff engage geomapping McCrindle Speakers goals authenticity selfie cost New Zealand Hills Shire Council demography generation Z cancelling event System's Architect ABS couple belief not for profit national crime rates focus group English affordability father's day staying in property professional services eliane plans Sydney Hills Business Chamber future Australian Dream Vocational education pyrmont customer contiki census results investor 1980 wealth and income distribution New South Wales house prices Western Australia students emerging technologies twentyseventeen growing population Channel 7 baby name children women vegemite Australia Day 2017 aged care puzzle city business index NEETs 2013 millionth mythbusting conferences resource conference presentation post rationalism google SA states Duchess of Cambridge Population Clock social shifts gold coast ashley mckenzie learn DESTEL population VET sector eliane miles facts dessert Crime Rates 2016 census results careers fears Tasmania skills generation generations professional global analysis grandparents hello fresh sydneysider ACF 2016 fresh story social issues demographic trends South Australia baby names thought leadership relevant woolworths affordable social change life shopping centre mentor ACT cancel plans population map rent social analysis charity Northern beaches Event insights safe online shopping the average aussie average Australian VIC world leadership high school emerging generations Social Trend university australians staying home more Australian Families marriages workforce norwest land of the middle class suburb divorce rate spirituality entrepreneur winter finance internet real Andrew Duffin baby names australia report ease of travel tips supply and demand earnings online school suburban living demographics social researcher ashley fell participants home easter trends of 2016 princess charlotte society trends Wellington sunny days bus study buildings outsourcing personal growth Skilling royal influence socialites 2015 property market future-proof event Sydney ultimo 2012 families anzac schools students Generation Y #censusfail intern resilience aussie culture ethnography data clothing group 2016 census royal financial dreams 2014 JOMO Gen Y financial fears PSI debt bondi proactive local communities Tuesday Trend households NBRS news networking Adelaide renter of the future Christmas presents community engagement define survey design cash education social researchers CBD sector wide house price rise sector wide study 23 million shifts quote identity sentiments ageing blaxland population milestone tea area school satisfaction Queensland Christmas season in the media winter blues Res Vis Northern Territory overcast local community Valentine’s Day renting environment housing market presentation wages religion dream keynote Merry Christmas communities townhouses spend gender February 16 state income baby high density apartments workshop litter challenge ideas WA presentations office urban taskforce forum increasing densification moderators guide FPA lifestyle Engineering Manager faux-cilise tattoos the hills shire family workplace workplace culture parenting learner child care society sydneysiders brand experience earning forecast meetings NSW youth data analyst menai housing affordability events group session crime trend cartodb Real Estate teachers 1968 publication social enquiry education future report impact young people apartment energy year 7 the changing face of TDE house speakers 2016 paying to work budget recap shopper's pick sydney speaker tableau shbc learning styles qualitative research SMSF housing trends 2017 salary census 2016 research report public speaker alpha trends vegetarian VET typical australian digital New Zeland average aussie mortgage medicine royal baby wealth distribution meals village australian social research year 12 living James Ward research data hornsby student pharmacies CPI social life purpose travelling census fail 2020 Christmas lunch baby boom names rise of local rising house prices repayments financial future global generations visual "know the times" house price Territory wage brand tertiary education travel REIV National Conference mateship Research Executive research services cica snapshot sydneycity Macquarie University communication video changing face of sydney Education Future Forum google for education The ABC of XYZ happiness Caregiver parents Mark McCrindle work mates award winner technology forecasting social lives Scouts cultural diversity annual income Aussies Real Estate Institute of Victoria in depth interviews storytelling research pack employers toys car Gen X entrepreneurial Myth culturally diverse poker master going out marketing community event baby name trends priorities baby boomers social impact capital city culture office space 10 years millennials Australian Communities Trends growth men Queensland: QLD optimistic commuters Christchurch educhat hopes summer World Water Day

Archive