Population update: Australia to hit 23 million people in 2012!

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

**UPDATE**

With the release of the ABS Australian Demographic Statistics results on Thursday 21st June,
the date in which Australia will hit 23 million is now estimated to be in August 2013

**ENDS**

At around 7am on Sunday 26 August 2012 Australia will hit its next population milestone of 23 million, social demographer Mark McCrindle has calculated. This new milestone comes less than a year after the world hit its latest mark of 7 billion, on 31 October 2011.

  • In 1966, just one in 12 Australians were aged over 65 compared to 1 in 7 today. Indeed the number of centenarians has increased 23-fold, from 184 to 4248 in less than half a century.

  • The population of Sydney today is equivalent to Australia's entire population a century ago.

  • If the average growth rates that Australia has experienced over the last few years continue, then Australia will actually be approaching 40 million in 40 years.

  • Sydney has the nation's highest population density of 380 people per square kilometre, which is the same as that of all the other Australian capital cities combined.

For more information, please see our latest Social AnalysisPDF!


Immigrants to Australia: Average Age

Monday, June 04, 2012

Australia is known as a culturally rich nation, welcoming immigrants from all corners of the globe. At McCrindle, we thought it'd be interesting to have a deeper look, finding the average age of immigrants, filtered by their country of origin. 

What we found was that the average age of immigrants from different countries, certainly reflected trends in immigration in Australia in previous decades. 

It was apparent that key world events were often accounted for through increased numbers of immigrants from those particular countries. The global issues that have shaped Australia's cultural mix flow from some of the biggest events of the last six decades. Post-World War 2 migration and construction boom, unrest in former Yugoslavia, the Vietnam war, civil unrest in Sri Lanka, the pre-Hong Kong handover and recent conflicts in Afghanistan and Sudan. 

This was just one of the various findings Mark McCrindle discussed at our recent Future Forum Breakfast. Please click here to download the full slide presentation from the event.

Australia at 23 Million - Future Forum Breakfast Recap [ PHOTOS ]

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

The McCrindle Research team were proud to present Australia at 23 Million, the first of three Future Forum Breakfast Series events we are holding in 2012. It was held last Friday morning (May 25th), and was attended by delegates in many different sectors.

Social Analyst Mark McCrindle presented an overview of how Australia as a nation is doing in the here and now, and what we should expect demographically, socially, generationally, and technologically in the near future.

Below is a bit of a photo recap of the morning's happenings. For more photos of the event visit our Flickr album.









Our next Future Forum Breakfast Series event is 21st Century Customers: Engaging with the emerging global consumers and it will be held on Friday August 24th. FREECALL 1800 TRENDS (1800 873 637) or visit the Future Forum website to register yourself or your team now.

Australia at 23 million: Future Forum Breakfast Series

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

In the lead up to our Future Forum Breakfast Series, here's a sneak peak into some of the topics we'll be covering this Friday morning at The Tea Room

How does Australia's population compare with the rest of the world?

Click here to download a high res image.

We look forward to seeing you there!

Australia's labour force in 2012 - employment stats & trends [ VIDEO ]

Monday, May 21, 2012

Mark McCrindle gives us an insight into Australia's current labour force in this video.

Australia is approaching 23 million people, and our labour force is at exactly half our total population at 11.5 million people. Of these, 70% are employed on a full time basis, 30% are part time workers. Currently our unemployment rate is at about 5.1%.

The unemployment rate is being affected by three factors: GEOGRAPHY, GENDER, and GENERATIONS. Mark explains below...

The Moving Heart of Australia

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Recently we looked at (and blogged briefly about) The National Centre of Population, which marks the location that is the shortest distance to every person in Australia.  

The National Centre

Currently Australia’s population centre is located in far west NSW, in the Central Darling area, near Ivanhoe, a small rural town with a population of 265 people. Compared to five years ago, the centre of population has shifted about 12km north-west. This is due to the population growth in both Queensland and Western Australia which has pulled the focal point. 

Based on this annual shift, Australia’s population centre in 2025 will have shifted north-west to the
town of Wilcannia, with a population of around 600.

The NSW Population Centre

The centre of population for NSW is currently located north of Sydney in The Hills Shire, near South Maroota and not far from the banks of the Hawkesbury River. The centre of NSW population is north of Sydney, due to the population pull of the Central Coast, Newcastle and the North Coast however, in the last five years, the centre shifted 1.3 kilometres in a south-easterly direction, indicating the increasing population growth in Sydney, the South Coast and along the NSW coast generally compared to inland NSW.  

The Heart of Sydney

Currently, the centre of population of Sydney is located in Ermington, just north of the Parramatta River. 

While Sydney’s population centre had consistently been heading west due to the growth in both the North-West (Blacktown is currently NSW largest growing area and Parramatta is second) and the  South West growth corridors (Liverpool and Bankstown are ranked fourth and fifth in NSW for growth), this has been balanced somewhat by the growth in the city (third largest growth area in NSW), and the Inner West and Eastern Suburbs. 

Motherhood and baby trends in Australia [ INFOGRAPHIC ]

Friday, May 11, 2012

The team at McCrindle Research have compiled Australia's only national list of today's baby names, and found William and Lily to be the pick of the bunch! Other naming trends include the rise in popularity of celebrity baby's names, as well us uncommon spelling of more common names.

Here's an infographic we've put together showing the current trends in births, families and baby names!

Embed this infographic on your site

McCrindle Research Mothers and Babies Infographic. Current trends in births, families and baby names

Demographic Myths - Busted!

Thursday, May 03, 2012

To assist in separating the opinions and conjecture from statistical reality, we've set out to do some myth-busting! From “the rise of childlessness”, “regional Australia in decline” and “the man drought” to “marriage out of favour” and “refugee arrivals driving population growth”, social analyst and demographer Mark McCrindle reveals the facts. Download the full Social Analysis here.

McCrindle Research Demographic Myths Busted Blog Article 2012

Myth 1: A growing percentage of women remaining childless

While Australia's crude birth rate has declined over the years, this is not because a greater proportion of women are remaining childless. Smaller families are now more common; for example, of women aged 60-64, 55% had three or more children compared to just 34% of women aged in their forties. Women in their forties were instead most likely to have fewer than three children.

Myth 2: Regional Australia is in decline

Actually the inner-regional areas of Australia (as distinct from the more remote regions) are growing as fast as our major cities (1.5%). The fastest growth rates in Australia are actually in regional centres and areas such asLake Macquarie north of Sydney, or Shoalhaven on the South Coast, Mandurah and Exmouth in Western Australia and Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast in Queensland all grew faster than their respective capitals.

Myth 3: There's a 'man drought' in Australia

When looking at the gender ratio across the entire population, the 99.2 males per 100 females appears to indicate a gender disparity, or “man drought”. However from birth there is anything but a man drought with 105 males are born for every 100 females in Australia.

Myth 4: The institution of marriage is out of favour

While the crude marriage rate has fallen from 5.4 over the last two decades, there are actually more marriages today than ever before, exceeding 121,000 per annum. And the marriage rate of some age groups is actually increasing: 30-34 females are now more likely to marry than ever before. Marriages are also lasting longer, with the average length of a marriage (that ends in divorce) now lasting 12.5 years (up from 10.2 in 1990). While thetotal number of remarriages has been declining constantly for more than 20 years (now around 25,000 per year), the number of first time marriages has been consistently increasing over this period and now exceeds 95,000 per year. Furthermore, the crude divorce rate is down, currently sitting at 2.3 from 2.5 in 1990.

Click here to see the latest data in infographic form on marriages in Australia. 

Read the full Social Analysis here.

Future Forum Breakfast Series promo video [ EVENT ]

Wednesday, May 02, 2012

In just half a decade our society has been transformed. Five years ago we had no smartphones, the iPad wasn't around, Twitter and Facebook were just starting up, the global financial crisis was not even predicted, and Australia's population was still at 20 million.

To help you Know the Times, McCrindle Research are delighted to bring you our acclaimed Future Forum as a Breakfast Series. These three events will be held at The Tea Room in QVB, Sydney CBD.

Check out our promotional video below and register now online or contact us at the office on FREECALL 1800 TRENDS (1800 873 637).

2007 to 2012: The major economic, political, technological & generational transitions

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

A word from Mark McCrindle: Australia has been transformed in the space of half a decade. Below is a snapshot of just of few of the massive transitions we have seen.

Economically: There was no GFC even visible on the horizon and households were more aspirational than value-conscious in their focus.

Politically: Australia looks very different compared to 5 years ago. Not only have we seen a shift from the coalition to Labor federally, but at this time in 2007 100% of states and territories were under Labor governments. Today it’s just 12%.

Technologically: Five years ago there were no iPhones in Australia, no iPads, no apps and no Androids. Facebook was still behind MySpace (the biggest social networking site of the time) and Twitter was only just emerging. Smart phones, social media and cloud computing were virtually unknown. Today Facebook has over 900 million users, while Twitter has 140 million.

Generationally: Most of the talk centred on Generation Y – who were at that stage the bulk of high school students and starting work. These days Generation Z comprises all school students, the emerging consumer segments, and even some new employees starting their careers. More information on Gen Z here.

McCrindle Research is about to hold its Future Forum Breakfast series, designed to give you the heads up on what the next half decade will hold. More information here.

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